Origins of the Study Initial Strategy The McDonald Papers Proposal to NSF Initial Research Orientation Research Orientation Reconsidered Footnotes |
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ORIGINS OF THE STUDYThe origins of most research projects and the accompanying predispositions of the researcher(s) are seldom disclosed in the final report. However, in this instance I believe a discussion of the above matters, as well as the substantive UFO question, is in keeping with the spirit of the research in general and deserves inclusion. Moreover, it will aid the reader in two important respects.
First, the reader will naturally wonder how I became involved with
the subject of Unidentified Flying Objects and, in particular, the
chronicling of five years in the career of a scientist who spent this
period of his life on what most members of the scientific community
would consider a nonsense subject. Secondly, although my bias will be
self-evident in the fashion in which I present my material, I believe
it is appropriate to indicate the evolution of my beliefs about the UFO
question and why I hold them; this will in turn benefit the reader in
his attempt to evaluate the work as a whole.
As the title of the dissertation suggests, the research focuses
on the politics of science. Not the usual politics of science (usual
in the sense of what is written about) which generally speaks to
questions of how government interacts with the scientific community,
but rather what I will call the "personal politics of
science." This consists primarily of how scientists interact
with one another, and an explication of the personal strategies
they adopt in the pursuance of their science-related goals.
The research did not begin with this objective. It started in
early 1971 when I decided that I would do my dissertation on the only
topic for which I had a burning substantive interest -- Unidentified
Flying Objects. In the jargon of the field of ufology I was a
believer. By this I mean I felt that the Earth was experiencing
extraterrestrial visitation. The question of what political
framework would fit my subject matter, or indeed, what my
subject matter really consisted of, did not disturb me. Everything
is political, or historical or psychological, etc., depending on
one's field of study. It was only a question, I felt, of getting the
proper handle on the data. And so I proceeded.
The first handle I attempted to grasp was the conspiracy hypothesis.
Based on reading twenty or so volumes on the UFO problem I concluded
the government and/or the Air Force intentionally covered-up the fact
that the Earth was experiencing extraterrestrial visitation by what
appeared to be intelligently controlled space vehicles. I spent six
months reading the UFO literature in an effort to glean conspiracy
information from it. During this initiation into the field a number
of things became apparent. First, as with any borderland field of
inquiry, I found books and articles difficult to acquire. The
University of Hawaii Library collection, for instance, is limited, as
is that of every other library in the country. I obtained most of my
material on interlibrary loan. Moreover, there are no UFO journals
that, for lack of a better term, could be called
"professional," i.e., exhibiting the standards of
scholarship expected in an academic journal. Secondly, the quality
of the scholarship in the field is highly variable. This is
something I cannot easily demonstrate, and will not take the time
to try, but let it suffice to say that when one reads about trips
that an author took to Venus, how Martians engineered the
Northeast power
blackout of 1965 and that UFOs are spaceships returning to the long
lost continent of Atlantis it takes no great acumen to realize that
the ground on which one is attempting to build needs shoring up. Yet
this proved to be only the beginning of a problem that had a way of
coming full circle. Initially I thought I could believe anyone who
appeared articulate, well-schooled and sincere. However, as I
continued to read I came upon contradictions between and within camps
of UFO authors. This proved disquieting and led me via this or that
circuitous psychological predispositional route to accept some and
reject others. Not being either sufficiently perspicacious to see
beyond my own set of assumptions or to kick one of them out from
under my perceptual filters I decided to restrict myself to what
seemed to be, given the literature, a conservative stance. Namely,
that UFOs were extraterrestrial in nature and the government and/or
the Air Force conspired to keep this from the public.
My strategy became one intended to circumvent all of the
"suspect" literature. At this point, the summer of
1971, it seemed that a circumstantial evidence approach to the
conspiracy hypothesis, largely using indirect government
documentation, might be the answer. To make a long story
short, I developed a design, the output from which suggested
several alternative interpretations. My committee recognized
this and subsequently I dropped the conspiracy hypothesis from
my research plans, although not from the back of my mind.
Continuing my search for the doable my committee chairman
offered the suggestion that I might pursue government policy
toward the UFO question since it was political and probably
could be nailed down. This appeared to be a worthwhile idea
because at the time I wanted to
develop a proposal which made the UFO problem a question of
foreign policy -- they weren't from here were they? Of course,
this conception depended for its success on the acceptance by
my committee that the UFO problem was what I said it was,
namely extraterrestrial visitation, and that this neglected
aspect of the American Foreign Policy literature deserved
study.
At this time the Aerial Phenomena Research Organization
(APRO)
[1]
of Tucson, Arizona, announced its first academic UFO symposium to be
held in November of 1971 at the University of Arizona. APRO or
fifteen academics were scheduled to speak and it seemed a fine
opportunity to determine what the "Invisible College"
did.
[2]
So on November 19, 1971 off I went with vague notions of government
policy/conspiracy floating in my head and high hopes of learning
about the inside knowledge developed by the participants in the
symposium.
As it turned out the symposium speakers did not know much more
about UFOs than I did. Most tried to focus their field of
expertise on the subject, but the efforts, even then, seemed
primitive to me at best. However I did meet Coral and Jim
Lorenzen who formed APRO in 1952 and continue to keep it
going. And most fortunately I met Richard Greenwell, a
British resident alien by way of Peru, the assistant director
of APRO. Being of the same age and having similar
temperaments and interests enabled us to quickly become
friends. This proved most propitious because the Lorenzens
were older, more distant, and consequently more difficult to
talk to.
One of the reasons I came to Tucson was to look at the APRO files
which I thought might help me get a feel for the government and
the Air Force policy. I also hoped to acquire copies of some of the
rare Air Force reports I expected APRO to have. I did that and more.
The volume of available periodical literature I found overwhelming.
I examined more material in three days than in the previous eight
months. When I finished Greenwell asked me if I would like to go with
him on his weekly trip to straighten up the files of the late Dr.
James E. McDonald. I casually agreed. I had heard of McDonald, a
noted atmospheric physicist at the University of Arizona who did UFO
work, but I did not want to see his files. As far as I knew he never
wrote anything relating to government policy.
Once I began perusing his papers, however, it became obvious they
were a significant find. Unfortunately I didn't know quite what to
do with it. My government policy notions made me select some
material, while the politics of science perspective began creeping in
and influencing my choice of other data. I half-heartedly changed
research designs in midstream. I Xeroxed about one-thousand pages of
McDonald correspondence, but remained uncertain what I would do with
it.
After sixteen days in Tucson I went on to Washington, D.C., where I
spent two weeks at the National Investigation Committee on Aerial
Phenomena (NICAP).
[3]
There Stuart Nixon, the Executive Secretary,
opened his files to me also. Again it was an unbelievable
experience. The inside of the UFO world seemed a fascinating mix of
plot and counterplot; the politics of science again.
I returned to Hawaii full of enthusiasm with my two-thousand or so
Xeroxed pages. The politics of science appeared to be the most
intriguing aspect of the UFO question I could pursue, yet I didn't
feel I obtained all the material I needed to examine the UFO
controversy as a whole. I thought if McDonald did so much, surely
other scientists
made similar contributions. My new goal became another trip. In my
naivete I assumed all (or at least most) of the scientists in the
controversy would like to get their points of view represented in my
dissertation.
The trip considerably influenced the credibility I imputed to various
investigators and hypotheses. For instance, there is really no way
to convey how impressed I became with McDonald. If there were some
doubts in my mind about the extraterrestrial hypothesis (ETH), after
going through his files they were alleviated. As a respected
atmospheric physicist who examined the problem for almost five years,
who was esteemed in his own field, sat on NAS panels, and spoke to
Navy, Air Force, NASA and aerospace groups he seemed to personify
credibility.
A further benefit which accrued to me as a result of going through
the files at APRO and NICAP was the opportunity to observe the style
in which many of the authors I previously read, communicated, both
without an intervening editor and when they thought their true views
would not lose them readers. For me this proved a useful exercise.
When I returned to Hawaii I felt like an insider. However, I also
was aware of the fact that in terms of overall knowledge of the
scientific controversy surrounding the UFO phenomenon my
understanding left much to be desired.
Therefore, 1972 became the year to write a proposal to finance a
second trip. The task became formidable, both because of the
political nature of my topic, namely, how scientists interact over a
potentially anomalous phenomenon, and because of my total lack of
experience in proposal-writing. I felt that I had to disguise what I
was doing because the scientist readers at the National Science
Foundation would
not want to admit science is political and by implication the NSF and
its funding policies. Yet, at the same time I needed to score enough
points to make my work look worthwhile in social science terms.
During the proposal-writing period I began making plans for my
prospective trip. This meant writing those scientists and
laymen who I thought could be of assistance. The result proved
mixed, but further honed my critical faculties. My
expectations were that a letter, possibly two, would enable the
making of introductions, the laying out of my research design
and the agreement, or lack of it, on the part of the
correspondent. This is, in fact, the manner in which it
occurred, except with Donald Menzel, an astronomer at Harvard,
and Philip Klass, Senior Avionics Editor of Aviation Week
and Space Technology Magazine -- the two foremost anti-UFO
authors. Both were very cordial at first, but by the second
letter Menzel became upset. Initially he wanted to obtain
funding for my work, but when he better understood my
intentions via my second missive, I suddenly became a
"cultist" and "incapable of thinking
logically." However, the important point about these
exchanges and those which followed over the next year is that
they confronted me with the other extreme and forced me to
reconsider the positions which only months before appeared so
tenable. Suddenly the ground under my feet was shifting again.
It wasn't that Menzel and Klass were necessarily correct in
what they said, it was that I could not demonstrate that they
were incorrect. In addition, the communications exposed me to
a perceptual distortion which I had never before experienced.
Rereading their letters in an attempt to make sense out of some
paragraphs which at the time seemed random, it finally occurred
to me that because our assumptions were so divergent and most
of the time
left unstated, that we often spoke totally by one another, we were in
different worlds. As a result, we each filled in the blanks in such
a way as to make meaningful communication virtually impossible. At
any rate, as the eternal verities of my UFO world began to crumble
and the demands of proposal-writing increased, I removed myself
further and further from the disconcerting spaceship aspects of the
UFO problem and became immersed in the procedural questions of the
politics of science of the issue. Also I started to think about the
psychological makeup of extremists, such as Menzel and myself, and
why we do what we do and think what we think.
In my NSF proposal I tried to be neutral, jargonish and in good form,
but I could not manage. In looking back on it the proposal contained
numerous methodological problems. However, above and beyond that, my
framework for analysis (from DeGrazia's book on Velikovsky), my
orientation (only poorly disguised), the case study material, and
lastly the personal politics of science label probably made the
proposal one of those least likely to succeed. In May of 1973 I
received formal word of the rejection.
However, my plans were already taking shape and I felt I could not
turn back at that point. So I took out a student loan and made the
trip anyway. It required ten weeks of travel and proved most
productive. Nevertheless, I did encounter a few setbacks.
When the trip began I conceived of the project as one in which I
would try to present both sides of the UFO controversy in as unbiased
a manner as I could. To me it appeared that extraterrestrial
visitation might be occurring, but my ardor and conviction for that
position waned over the previous year. My ostensible orientation was
towards
determining if scientific due process had been accorded the UFO
phenomenon. Of course, I felt scientific due process was an ideal
type which neither side in the controversy would live up to and so I
would use it as a straw man to give me an opportunity to investigate
and chronicle the activities of the scientists who studied UFOs. In
short, to tell a political story with a modicum of framework and
social science jargon.
However, I found after a short time on the road that the negative
position would be difficult to obtain. First of all, only a few
people represent that position. By this I mean that they write about
and/or investigate UFOs and debunk the subject. Dr. Donald Menzel,
formerly head of the Harvard Observatory is one of those men. He
gave me access to his papers, which contained a wealth of
information, at the American Philosophical Society Library in
Philadelphia. I asked that some eight-hundred pages be Xeroxed by
the library and sent on to me in Hawaii. What I did not realize, and
was not told until later, was that I only had note-taking privileges.
When the Librarian contacted Menzel about the Xeroxing, he refused
permission. Why did he do so? As he put it, he felt I intended to
portray him as the "arch demon of saucerdom" and also
mentioned something about Xeroxing tending to reduce the value of the
collection in Philadelphia. He drew the arch demon conclusion for a
number of reasons. First, in my previous trip I visited both NICAP
and APRO, but not him. He felt both organizations consisted of
kooks, crackpots and cultists. Secondly, for a year-and-one-half
prior to my second trip we corresponded and disagreed on many issues
related to the UFO question and research methodology. I never took a
positive position on the ETH, but he always attacked me as if
I did.
I played devil's advocate and countered some highly insulting
letters with equally scathing retorts. I am afraid this proved
my undoing. As I look back in dismay and embarrassment, I
don't believe I can begin to conceive of, much less convey to
the reader, what the former head of the Harvard Observatory and
paragon of twentieth century astrophysics must have felt when
he read counter-argumentation from an upstart graduate student
-- in the social sciences at that. Thirdly, immediately after
perusing Menzel's papers, I visited Philip Klass in Washington,
D.C. Klass and I were at loggerheads almost from the moment we
met. I came to get data, but he insisted on drawing me into
arguments to convert me to his position. Consequently, my
three-day visit with him was difficult. I attempted to avoid
offending him, but lost my temper several times and almost lost
the data I came for. As it was I think I acquired only the tip
of the iceberg. But more importantly I believe he informed
Menzel, who I had not met, that I could not be trusted.
Subsequently, Menzel indicated that I could have the APS
material if I could demonstrate that "I am a fair and objective
researcher" -- a concept I don't believe in and which he
knew we discussed in previous correspondence.
It is very easy to fall into the perceptual trap which Menzel used
to filter my position. Namely that I want to settle the UFO
controversy, that is, speak to the reality of the UFO data, and
assess blame to those members of the scientific community who acted
improperly. This is not the case. Of course, there is good reason
for Menzel to believe this, for at one time, in my zeal, I did intend
to do so. This undoubtedly was indirectly communicated in our
correspondence, although I tried to downplay the issue. In addition,
Menzel did receive a copy of my NSF
proposal which I intended to be a neutral document, but which I
suspect was not construed as such by the disinterested observer and,
therefore, to Menzel it must have appeared a polemic.
Besides Menzel two other people who might have provided insight into
the negative position refused to see me or permit me to examine their
files. Most importantly Dr. Edward Condon (recently deceased), who
had been the principal investigator in the Air Force sponsored
1966-68 University of Colorado UFO study. At the time his refusal
was understandable since he underwent heart surgery only two months
prior to my visit. However, over the phone he made it clear that the
UFO phenomenon was a crackpot subject and I should give up my
research.
Robert Low, the administrator of the Condon Project, was of the same
opinion. In his first letter to me he indicated that my dissertation
did not merit the approval of my department and that he would not
help me. In my second letter to him I pointed out that if he thought
my proposal would not be accepted, he labored under a misconception
because acceptance had already taken place. Moreover, I explained
that a number of academics had agreed to cooperate and were enthused
by the idea. I also let it be known that Low's name had come up many
times, in the course of corresponding with other participants in the
controversy, but I hoped to hear his role described as only he could
recount it.
Low's reply was not what I expected. He said there was nothing
befitting a Ph.D. thesis in the physical or social sciences in the
UFO phenomenon and that acceptance on the part of my department
reflected adversely on its members. He said I could learn all he
could tell me in the Condon Report and my research was "a
waste of time."
My surmise is that both Condon and Low suspected my work would turn
out to be something similar to the volume written by David
Saunders
[4]
whom Condon fired from the Study and who later wrote an
expose of the project's inner workings.
Of course, it would be unfair of me to suggest that only the anti-UFO
scientists were uncooperative. For instance. Norm Levine, also fired
from the Condon Project, did not respond to my letters. When in
Boulder, primarily to see Saunders and Condon, I decided to call Mary
Lou Armstrong, Condon's administrative assistant, who resigned in
vehement protest over the handling of the project in general, and the
firing of Saunders and Levine in particular. She too refused to see
me, referring me to Saunders. Also Jacques Vallee, presently at
Stanford's Institute for the Study of the Future, and one of the
foremost contributors to the field of ufology, refused to respond to
my letters. In a round-about, fortuitous fashion I managed
eventually, arriving unannounced, to spend two informative hours with
him, but he said he had no data to contribute. Lastly, James Harder
of the Berkeley Engineering Department was another potentially good
source who showed no interest in becoming a contributor to, and
therefore an actor in, my dissertation.
In defense of everyone cited, both pro and con, I can understand
their various desires for anonymity, to avoid being quoted out of
context and just generally to keep an outsider from reading their
mail. Yet, let's call these decisions by their proper names. They
are political decisions, i.e., to insure tenure, escape controversy,
retain reputations, keep some "so-called"
extrascientific behaviors secret, obviate the possibility of
inadvertently contributing material to the "wrong
side" of the controversy, and to evade any
responsibility for furnishing data to the personal politics of
science literature.
Nevertheless, a positive outgrowth of this experience is that
it forced me to move away from consideration of my scientific
due process orientation, i.e., did the UFO phenomenon receive
scientific due process, which required a strong two-sided
presentation toward a conception of the scientific process as a
political process. The political process phenomenon can be
amply demonstrated from one side of the controversy alone, or
as in this case, from the standpoint of the correspondence
constituting one scientist's communication net, and a bit of
associated background and foreground information. In a sense,
although the delimitation of my personal substantive goal of
learning more about the politics of science of the total UFO
controversy is involuntary, I have been forced to look beyond
the "them" and "us" perspective that
permeated my earlier thinking and am now in a better position
to view all the actors in the controversy as "them."
This is crucial because altering the research orientation means that a
greater emphasis is placed on the political maneuverings of the
participants in the controversy and none on which group is
substantively or procedurally correct. Probably none of the
protagonists desires to be portrayed as political in his
scientific dealings; however, if this is true, then I have
robbed Peter to pay Paul by my exchange of assumptions, but it
is an exchange most political scientists should find tolerable.
Yet this does not mean my substantive UFO bias will not be a factor.
I cannot help but filter my data through it, but at the intellectual
level I am at least aware of this problem and to some degree am able
to rectify it and alert the reader. Now may be an
appropriate point to explain the nature of this bias.
I believe there are five ways in which one can reach a conclusion on the
substantive aspects of the UFO question. First, one can hear about
someone else's UFO sighting. Second, one can read about sightings
and investigations performed by others. Third, one can make use of
other investigators case reports to reach a conclusion. Fourth, one
can go out into the field and do case investigations. Fifth, one can
make his own sighting. Each of these approaches, or any combination
of them, is subject to bias, but as one moves along the scale from
one toward five I think that the credence that can be placed in one's
own belief increases. (It should be noted that five demonstrates my
bias that one phenomenon, a real UFO so to speak, exists. A skeptic
would be quick to jump on the fact that UFOs consist of many kinds of
natural and man-made phenomena which could not justify a
generalization from a single case.) Most individuals opt for numbers
one and two. A few opt for three and four. And we don't know how
many have had five imposed upon them.
My research does not demand that I resolve this substantive UFO
issue, but it is in the nature of a subject such as this that one
does not get involved unless one has an axe to grind. My experience
has been with people in all five of the above categories. Each group
contains individuals of impressive intellectual and technical stature
clinging to either a pro or con position for reasons he considers
valid. Not being a case investigator and not having made a sighting
my position is a function of the faith I put in the credibility and
expertise of the witnesses and investigators who I have spoken with
and read about. At this point in time it is my belief that the person
who does not
investigate cases and has not had an alleged UFO sighting is taking a
strong emotional position on whatever side of the issue he stands.
This is also true, but to a lesser degree, of approaches four and
five, given the nature of interviewer bias, the lack of
intersubjectively verifiable evidence and the complexity of
perceptual distortion.
Consequently, because I have not investigated cases nor made a
sighting, my belief that people are observing anomalous data is
very much a function of my psychological predisposition to
believe one group of investigators over another. Not
necessarily because they are correct, but because I would like
to think they are correct. Naturally I believe that my
analysis of their analyses has produced the truth. That is,
which group is correct. However, at a meta-level of analysis,
I know that psychological predisposition is playing a larger
role in my conclusion than is intersubjectively verifiable
evidence. So, just as the investigator musters as much
evidence as he can to make his pro or con case vis-a-vis the
UFO data, I do the identical thing with respect to the
investigators.
Although I do not intend to speak to the question of the reality of
UFOs in the course of this dissertation, the present explication
should better enable the reader to understand the perceptual filter
through which I view my subject. This is by way of saying: reader
beware. I don't accept the extraterrestrial hypothesis without
reservation, but my bias is in that direction. Therefore, this bias
may subtly influence the manner in which the data in this study is
arrayed. It may make one group of scientists appear to be
"good guys" and the other group not so good.
Forewarned is forearmed.
FOOTNOTES
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